Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Clemence Mercier

UMPIRY

W75 SaguenayR32HardThu 22 Oct · 18:30

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson(5)WTA #223 · SWE86%

VSStrong favourite · Rinaldo Persson K.

Clemence MercierCAN14%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Rinaldo Persson K.

86%14%

Clear edge for Rinaldo Persson K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Rinaldo Persson K.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Mercier C.5.9/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 9 on hardInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 682

Hard ELO1 588

Last 108–2

Age28

ELO1 507

Hard ELO1 495

Last 103–7

Age18

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson faces Clemence Mercier in the W75 Saguenay round of 32 on hard. Kajsa Rinaldo Persson brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Clemence Mercier edged Lilian Poling in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Surface form: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 8 of 10, Clemence Mercier 3 of 10 on hard recently — Kajsa Rinaldo Persson the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Clemence Mercier carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Rinaldo Persson K.Mercier C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–23–7

Season win rate57% (27–20)40% (2–3)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16821507

Hard-court ELO15881495

Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 5 matches

1st-serve points won59%58%

Return points won47%44%

Aces / match0.94.0

ClutchLast 45 vs 5 matches

Break points saved54%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

18:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast5°C · Clear

Wind8 km/h

Humidity64%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Clemence Mercier — W75 Saguenay Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/mercier-vs-persson-w75-saguenay-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).