Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry

UMPIRY

CaliR16ClayThu 22 Oct · ~11:30Court 1 · After 1 match

Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaATP #240 · BRA56%

VSToss-up

Nicolas JarryATP #854 · CHI44%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pucinelli de Almeida M.5.5/10

Slight disadvantage

Jarry N.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+238 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Jarry N.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1648Against the prediction · Jarry N.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Jarry N.

Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on clayInformative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Pucinelli de Almeida M.

ELO1 746

Clay ELO1 721

Last 106–4

Age25

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $367K2026 $32K

ELO1 831

Clay ELO1 755

Last 105–5

Age31

Height201 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.9M2026 $70K

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida faces Nicolas Jarry in the Cali round of 16 on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida holds the paper edge — ranked #240, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Under pressure: In the tight moments, Nicolas Jarry has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 25 vs 5).
Last match: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida edged Jose Pereira in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at Mexico City CH 2022.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Pucinelli de Almeida M. leads 2–1

Jarry N.April 2022Mexico City CHClay7-6 6-2
Pucinelli de Almeida M.March 2022Concepcion CHClay6-4 3-6 6-3
Pucinelli de Almeida M.July 2021Todi CHClay3-6 6-3 6-1

Evidence

Pucinelli de Almeida M.Jarry N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate65% (32–17)36% (5–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17461831

Clay-court ELO17211755

Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 10 matches

1st-serve points won67%71%

Return points won45%39%

Aces / match2.16.4

ClutchLast 48 vs 10 matches

Break points saved62%56%

When it starts

Court 1 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Zarate C. v Comesana F.0-1
2This match: Pucinelli de Almeida M. v Jarry N.This match
3Tobon M. v Mejia N.Not before 5:30 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · ~11:30 local

SurfaceClay · fast

Forecast26°C · Clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity64%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Pucinelli de Almeida M.Jarry N.

2Days since last match3

1Matches · 7 days1

22Games · 7 days31

2Matches · 14 days1

45Games · 14 days31

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry — Cali Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/almeida-vs-jarry-cali-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).