Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

UMPIRY

AlmatyR16HardWed 21 Oct · ~13:00COURT 1 · After 1 match

Facundo Diaz AcostaATP #71 · ARG48%

VSToss-up

Nikoloz BasilashviliATP #128 · GEO52%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Diaz Acosta F.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Basilashvili N.6.7/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+75 Hard Elo edgeSupports Basilashvili N.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1680Against the prediction · Diaz Acosta F.

Recent run3-match win streakSupports Basilashvili N.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Basilashvili N.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 857

Hard ELO1 557

Last 107–3

Age25

Height183 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $374K

ELO1 851

Hard ELO1 735

Last 108–2

Age34

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $9.8M2026 $383K

Facundo Diaz Acosta faces Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty round of 16 on hard. Facundo Diaz Acosta is the paper favourite — ranked #71 — but Nikoloz Basilashvili rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Facundo Diaz Acosta 72 games in 14 days, Nikoloz Basilashvili 110.
Under pressure: Nikoloz Basilashvili has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 52 vs Facundo Diaz Acosta's 18).
Last match: Facundo Diaz Acosta dropped the opening set before beating Thiago Agustin Tirante 6–7 6–1 6–4.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Diaz Acosta F. and Basilashvili N. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Diaz Acosta F. went 2–0 (100%) against them, Basilashvili N. 1–1 (50%).

2–0100%Diaz Acosta F. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–150%Basilashvili N. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–2Sets3–2

34–25Games27–21

0–1Tiebreaks0–0

2–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Tirante T.#50W6-7(3) 6-1 6-4Almaty · hardL5-7 6-3 4-6Bastad · clay
vs Cina F.#135W4-6 6-3 6-4Kitzbuhel · clayW6-3 6-2Chengdu · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Diaz Acosta F.Basilashvili N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–38–2

Season win rate72% (51–20)49% (29–30)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18571851

Hard-court ELO15571735

Serve vs returnLast 69 vs 49 matches

1st-serve points won69%76%

Return points won43%36%

Aces / match2.97.1

ClutchLast 69 vs 49 matches

Break points saved61%59%

When it starts

COURT 1 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Bellucci M. v Etcheverry T.Starts at 11:30
2This match: Diaz Acosta F. v Basilashvili N.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · ~13:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast15°C · Overcast

Wind8 km/h

Humidity29%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Diaz Acosta F.Basilashvili N.

1Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days3

51Games · 7 days63

3Matches · 14 days5

72Games · 14 days110

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Almaty Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/acosta-vs-basilashvili-almaty-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).