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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta — Almaty Round of 32

AlmatyR32HardMon 19 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Tirante T.
68%32%

Clear edge for Tirante T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tirante T.6.2/10
Even match
Diaz Acosta F.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+103 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tirante T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1741Supports Tirante T.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Diaz Acosta F.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 950
Hard ELO1 747
Last 105–5
Age25
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 847
Hard ELO1 545
Last 106–4
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $374K

Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Facundo Diaz Acosta in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. Thiago Agustin Tirante holds the paper edge — ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Tirante T. and Diaz Acosta F. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Tirante T. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Diaz Acosta F. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Tirante T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Diaz Acosta F. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–2Sets2–2
8–12Games20–20

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Tirante T. leads 3–1
31

Evidence

Tirante T.Diaz Acosta F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate58% (31–22)71% (50–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1950 (ahead)1847
Hard-court ELO1747 (ahead)1545
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 68 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)68%
Return points won36%43% (ahead)
Aces / match8.4 (ahead)2.9
ClutchLast 46 vs 68 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity31%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Tirante T.Diaz Acosta F.
8 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days21
2Matches · 14 days2
45Games · 14 days42 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta — Almaty Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/acosta-vs-tirante-almaty-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).