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Marina Bassols Ribera vs Caroline Uebelhoer — W100 Wrexham Round of 32

W100 WrexhamR32HardTue 20 Oct · 15:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bassols Ribera M.
76%24%

Clear edge for Bassols Ribera M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bassols Ribera M.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Uebelhoer C.3.9/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+158 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bassols Ribera M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1610Supports Bassols Ribera M.
Surface switchGrass → HardAgainst the prediction · Uebelhoer C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Uebelhoer C.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 756
Hard ELO1 614
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $335K
ELO1 652
Hard ELO1 549
Last 105–5
Age30
EarningsCareer $196K2026 $85K

Marina Bassols Ribera faces Caroline Uebelhoer in the W100 Wrexham round of 32 on hard. Marina Bassols Ribera is the paper favourite — ranked #130, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Caroline Uebelhoer has won their only previous meeting, though none on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Bassols Ribera M. and Uebelhoer C. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bassols Ribera M. went 0–3 (0%) against them, Uebelhoer C. 0–3 (0%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 0 better-results split).

0–30%Bassols Ribera M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–30%Uebelhoer C. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–6Sets0–6
29–42Games17–37
0–2Deciding sets0–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Uebelhoer C. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Bassols Ribera M.Uebelhoer C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate57% (29–22) (ahead)47% (22–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1756 (ahead)1652
Hard-court ELO1614 (ahead)1549
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won59%60% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)46%
Aces / match0.51.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 50 vs 45 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast11°C · Drizzle
Wind5 km/h
Humidity96%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bassols Ribera M.Uebelhoer C.
6Days since last match8 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
43Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
43 — fresherGames · 14 days53
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marina Bassols Ribera vs Caroline Uebelhoer — W100 Wrexham Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/ribera-vs-uebelhoer-w100-wrexham-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).