Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32
Why
Surface+246 Hard Elo edgeSupports Chwalinska M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1833Supports Chwalinska M.
Recent run6-match win streakSupports Chwalinska M.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kawa K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 740
Hard ELO1 543
Last 104–6
Age33
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $217K
ELO1 959
Hard ELO1 732
Last 108–2
Age25
Height164 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.0M2026 $2.2M
Katarzyna Kawa faces Maja Chwalinska in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 32 on hard. Maja Chwalinska holds the paper edge — ranked #22, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Katarzyna Kawa 23 games in 14 days, Maja Chwalinska 101.
- Under pressure: Maja Chwalinska has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 65 vs Katarzyna Kawa's 8).
- Last match: Katarzyna Kawa advanced when Daria Snigur retired.
Common opponents
7 shared · last 12 monthsKawa K. and Chwalinska M. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kawa K. went 6–3 (67%) against them, Chwalinska M. 5–4 (56%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).
6–367%Kawa K. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents5–456%Chwalinska M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
12–7Sets13–8
88–69Games104–76
0–0Tiebreaks1–1
1–0Deciding sets0–3
vs Kalinina A.#48L5-7 2-6Antalya 125 2 · clayL7-5 2-6 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Waltert S.#110L1-6 1-6Oeiras 125 · clayW6-1 6-0Oeiras 125 · clay
vs Uchijima M.#121L3-6 3-6Antalya 125 1 · clayL6-2 3-6 5-7Antalya 125 2 · clay
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Zidansek T.#161W6-1 6-4Antalya 125 2 · clayL7-6 3-6 6-7Antalya 125 3 · clay
vs Papamichail D.#189W6-1 6-3Antalya 125 3 · clayW6-2 6-0Antalya 125 2 · clay
vs Monnet C.#210W6-1 6-0Bogota · clayW6-0 6-1Roland Garros · clay
vs Sherif M.#52Hard to compareW6-3 1-6 6-2Antalya 125 2 · clayW6-3 6-2Wuhan · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Kawa K.Chwalinska M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (27–22)70% (39–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17401959 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15431732 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)60%
Return points won48%49% (ahead)
Aces / match1.7 (ahead)0.7
ClutchLast 48 vs 56 matches
Break points saved53%54% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/chwalinska-vs-kawa-ningbo-open-ningbo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).