Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32
Why
Surface+81 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kartal S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1874Supports Kartal S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Kartal S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Birrell K.
ELO1 985
Hard ELO1 849
Last 107–3
Age24
Height163 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $326K
ELO1 835
Hard ELO1 743
Last 107–3
Age28
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.2M2026 $1.1M
Sonay Kartal faces Kimberly Birrell in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 32 on hard. Sonay Kartal holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Sonay Kartal 122 games in 14 days, Kimberly Birrell 35.
- Head-to-head: Sonay Kartal leads the head-to-head 3–1, 2–0 on hard. Last met at Doha 2026.
- Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsKartal S. and Birrell K. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kartal S. went 2–3 (40%) against them, Birrell K. 1–4 (20%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 0 better-results split).
2–340%Kartal S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–420%Birrell K. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–7Sets3–8
66–57Games40–57
0–2Tiebreaks1–0
1–2Deciding sets0–1
vs Rybakina E.#1L4-6 3-4Indian Wells · hardL1-6 2-6Dubai · hard
vs Bouzkova M.#28L6-7(2) 6-4 4-6Billie Jean King Cup · hardL4-6 4-6Beijing · hard
vs Tjen J.#47W6-1 6-7 6-3Auckland · hardL4-6 3-6Chennai · hard
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vs Linette M.#77L4-6 6-3 3-6Doha · hardL6-2 1-6 2-6s Hertogenbosch · grass
vs Seidel E.#193W6-3 6-1Auckland · hardW7-6 6-1Austin 125 1 · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Kartal S. leads 3–131
Hard: Kartal S. leads 2–0 · Clay: Kartal S. leads 1–0 · Grass: Birrell K. leads 1–0
- Kartal S.February 2026DohaHard7-5 6-3
- Kartal S.May 2025RomeClay4-6 6-3 6-4
- Birrell K.June 2024W100 Ilkley 1Grass7-6(4) 7-5
- Kartal S.May 2022W25 NottinghamHard6-1 6-1
Evidence
Kartal S.Birrell K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate67% (18–9) (ahead)54% (30–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1985 (ahead)1835
Hard-court ELO1849 (ahead)1743
Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)64%
Return points won45% (ahead)44%
Aces / match2.2 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 26 vs 53 matches
Break points saved53%53%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/birrell-vs-kartal-japan-open-osaka-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).