Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov | Almaty Round of 32

UMPIRY

AlmatyR32HardMon 19 Oct · 11:00

Fabian MarozsanATP #63 · HUN66%

VSSlight edge · Marozsan F.

Timofey SkatovATP #210 · KAZ34%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Marozsan F.

66%34%

Marozsan F. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Marozsan F.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Skatov T.4.7/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+267 Hard Elo edgeSupports Marozsan F.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1784Supports Marozsan F.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Marozsan F.

This eventReached the quarters here last yearSupports Marozsan F.

ELO1 900

Hard ELO1 749

Last 104–6

Age27

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.9M2026 $1.0M

ELO1 763

Hard ELO1 622

Last 104–6

Age25

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $204K

Fabian Marozsan faces Timofey Skatov in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. Fabian Marozsan holds the paper edge — ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Under pressure: Fabian Marozsan has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 51 vs Timofey Skatov's 17).
Freshness: Workload contrast: Fabian Marozsan 22 games in 14 days, Timofey Skatov 39.
Head-to-head: Fabian Marozsan leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Vienna 2023.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Marozsan F. and Skatov T. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Marozsan F. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Skatov T. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Marozsan F. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Skatov T. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets0–3

10–13Games14–19

0–1Tiebreaks0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Jacquet K.#76L6-7(12) 4-6Hangzhou · hardL6-7 4-6 4-6Wimbledon · grass

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Marozsan F. leads 2–0

Hard: Marozsan F. leads 1–0 · Clay: Marozsan F. leads 1–0

Marozsan F.October 2023ViennaHard6-3 7-6(2)
Marozsan F.May 2023Rome MastersClay6-0 2-6 7-5

Evidence

Marozsan F.Skatov T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–64–6

Season win rate48% (21–23)52% (32–30)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19001763

Hard-court ELO17491622

Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 61 matches

1st-serve points won70%69%

Return points won35%38%

Aces / match4.83.0

ClutchLast 43 vs 61 matches

Break points saved59%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast11°C · Clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity31%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Marozsan F.Skatov T.

10Days since last match12

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

1Matches · 14 days2

22Games · 14 days39

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov — Almaty Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/marozsan-vs-skatov-almaty-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).