Timofey Skatov vs Kyrian JacquetWimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Final
#147ATP
1544ELO
1484Grass ELO
$110kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWL
0 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
#121ATP
1685ELO
1612Grass ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
Skatov T.
6-7 4-6 4-6
Jacquet K.
Skatov T.
6440
Jacquet K.
7663

Kyrian Jacquet won the Wimbledon final, defeating Timofey Skatov in straight sets 7-6, 6-4, 6-4. Jacquet served effectively, hitting 16 aces and winning 88% of his first-serve points, while converting 50% of his break points to secure two service breaks. Skatov struggled with his serve, managing only three aces and no service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
87
Break points won·Clear edge
13
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
40
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Skatov T.30%
Jacquet K.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jacquet K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+9 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1497
4.1Overall Elo 1587
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1658
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
73

Skatov T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw