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Tristan Boyer vs Elmer Moller — Lisbon Round of 32

LisbonR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Boyer T.5.9/10
Even match
Moller E.6.1/10
Even match
What we know
Surface+49 Clay Elo edgeFavours Moller E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1609Favours Moller E.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysFavours Boyer T.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 782
Clay ELO1 634
Last 105–5
Age25
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $233K
ELO1 772
Clay ELO1 728
Last 104–6
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $742K2026 $170K

Tristan Boyer faces Elmer Moller in the Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Elmer Moller holds the paper edge — ranked #181, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Tristan Boyer comes in with 2 days of rest and 100 games in 14d, vs Elmer Moller's 4 and 170.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elmer Moller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 69 vs 43).
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Boyer T. and Moller E. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Boyer T. went 3–0 (100%) against them, Moller E. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 0 better-results split).

3–0100%Boyer T. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–167%Moller E. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–2Sets3–2
57–41Games32–30
1–2Tiebreaks1–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Boyer T.Moller E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate56% (28–22) (ahead)47% (22–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1782 (ahead)1772
Clay-court ELO16341728 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)62%
Return points won40%43% (ahead)
Aces / match3.8 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 47 vs 42 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Boyer T.Moller E.
2Days since last match4 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
70Games · 7 days54 — fresher
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
100 — fresherGames · 14 days170
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tristan Boyer vs Elmer Moller — Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/boyer-vs-moller-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).