Gabriel Diallo vs Tristan BoyerLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#92ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#166ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWWLL
Diallo G.
vs
Boyer T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Diallo G.57%
Boyer T.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Diallo G. 2–2 · Boyer T. 1–2 · small sample
Diallo G. better · same surface · 6 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+153 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1525
6.9Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1561
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Boyer T.

Boyer T.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
43
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
83
Break points won·Slight edge
29
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
28
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Boyer T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 95%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw