UMPIRY
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Hanyu Guo vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32

Ningbo Open - NingboR32HardMon 19 Oct · 12:00
VSClear favourite · Alexandrova E.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Alexandrova E.
26%74%

Clear edge for Alexandrova E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Guo H.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Alexandrova E.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+208 Hard Elo edgeSupports Alexandrova E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1844Supports Alexandrova E.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Alexandrova E.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 741
Hard ELO1 670
Last 103–7
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $901K
ELO1 961
Hard ELO1 833
Last 105–5
Age31
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.5M2026 $1.8M

Hanyu Guo faces Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 32 on hard. Ekaterina Alexandrova holds the paper edge — ranked #24, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Guo H. and Alexandrova E. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Guo H. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Alexandrova E. 1–1 (50%).

0–20%Guo H. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Alexandrova E. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–3Sets3–2
16–23Games21–19
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Guo H.Alexandrova E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (18–16) (ahead)46% (21–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17411961 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16701833 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 34 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won61%66% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)42%
Aces / match1.34.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 34 vs 44 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Mainly clear
Wind6 km/h
Humidity63%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Guo H.Alexandrova E.
3Days since last match6 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
82Games · 7 days28 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days4
117Games · 14 days98 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hanyu Guo vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/alexandrova-vs-guo-ningbo-open-ningbo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).