Mccartney Kessler vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — US Open Round of 128
Kessler M.
Mccartney Kessler faces Ekaterina Alexandrova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Ekaterina Alexandrova holds the paper edge — ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Mccartney Kessler comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Ekaterina Alexandrova's 2 and 92.
- Serve & return: Ekaterina Alexandrova leads on Serve Rating (43), Mccartney Kessler on Return Rating (52).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Ningbo 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKessler M.: 15 days rest · Alexandrova E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Ningbo | QF | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 6-3 6-3 |