UMPIRY
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Takeru Yuzuki vs Svyatoslav Gulin — Lisbon Qualifying Round of 32

LisbonQ32QualifyingClaySun 18 Oct · ~14:30COURT BELEM · After 3 matches
VSStrong favourite · Gulin S.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Gulin S.
9%91%

Clear edge for Gulin S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 11 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Yuzuki T.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Gulin S.6.3/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Gulin S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 497
Clay ELO1 494
Last 104–6
Age28
Height196 cm
PlaysLeft
ELO1 716
Clay ELO1 698
Last 106–4
Age23
Height178 cm
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Yuzuki T.Gulin S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (2–2)57% (25–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14971716 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO14941698 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)68%
Return points won31%41% (ahead)
Aces / match14.3 (ahead)3.5
ClutchLast 4 vs 43 matches
Break points saved83% (ahead)55%

When it starts

COURT BELEM · After 3 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT BELEM · ~14:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast23°C · Partly cloudy
Wind20 km/h
Humidity44%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Takeru Yuzuki vs Svyatoslav Gulin — Lisbon Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/gulin-vs-yuzuki-lisbon-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).