Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov | Lisbon Qualifying Round of 32

UMPIRY

LisbonQ32QualifyingClaySun 18 Oct · 13:00Court 1 · Next on

Joao DominguesATP #584 · POR28%

VSClear favourite · Gakhov I.

Ivan GakhovATP #434 · RUS72%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Gakhov I.

28%72%

Clear edge for Gakhov I. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Domingues J.5.2/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Gakhov I.5.8/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on claySupports Gakhov I.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on claySupports Gakhov I.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Domingues J.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 614

Clay ELO1 588

Last 102–8

Age33

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $571K2026 $18K

ELO1 683

Clay ELO1 648

Last 105–5

Age29

Height191 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $540K2026 $19K

Joao Domingues faces Ivan Gakhov in the Lisbon qualifying round of 32 on clay. Ivan Gakhov holds the paper edge — ranked #434, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Joao Domingues 34 games in 14 days, Ivan Gakhov 65.
Under pressure: Ivan Gakhov has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 34 vs Joao Domingues's 0).
Head-to-head: Ivan Gakhov leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Getxo 1 2024.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Gakhov I. leads 1–0

Gakhov I.July 2024M25 Getxo 1Clay6-3 3-6 6-3

Evidence

Domingues J.Gakhov I.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss2–85–5

Season win rate33% (6–12)47% (18–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16141683

Clay-court ELO15881648

Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 36 matches

1st-serve points won60%71%

Return points won39%38%

Aces / match0.75.1

ClutchLast 18 vs 36 matches

Break points saved52%61%

When it starts

Court 1 · Next on · Not before 13:00

1This match: Domingues J. v Gakhov I.This match
2Schoen P. v Rocha F.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · 13:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast21°C · Partly cloudy

Wind20 km/h

Humidity53%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Domingues J.Gakhov I.

7Days since last match6

1Matches · 7 days2

15Games · 7 days48

2Matches · 14 days3

34Games · 14 days65

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov — Lisbon Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/domingues-vs-gakhov-lisbon-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).