Clara Burel vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

UMPIRY

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonFinalClaySun 18 Oct · 11:00

Clara BurelWTA #214 · FRA

Leyre Romero Gormaz(6)WTA #139 · ESP

Win probabilityWho is more likely to win

——

Prediction unavailable for this match. Everything else on this page still applies.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Burel C.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Romero Gormaz L.5.2/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Surface form8 of last 10 on clayFavours Burel C.

Recent run7-match win streakFavours Burel C.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysFavours Burel C.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 807

Clay ELO1 655

Last 108–2

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $204K

ELO1 712

Clay ELO1 693

Last 106–4

Age24

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $784K2026 $179K

Clara Burel faces Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon final on clay. Leyre Romero Gormaz holds the paper edge — ranked #139. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Under pressure: Clara Burel has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 52 vs Leyre Romero Gormaz's 19).
Last match: Leyre Romero Gormaz dropped just 5 games past Dalma Galfi.
Win streak: Both arrive in form — Clara Burel on a 7-match run, Leyre Romero Gormaz on 4.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Burel C. and Romero Gormaz L. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Burel C. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Romero Gormaz L. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Burel C. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Romero Gormaz L. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets1–2

9–13Games14–16

0–0Tiebreaks0–1

0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Oliynykova O.#51L4-6 5-7Iasi · clayL6-7(3) 6-3 2-6Hamburg · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Burel C.Romero Gormaz L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate63% (19–11)59% (36–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18071712

Clay-court ELO16551693

Serve vs returnLast 28 vs 60 matches

1st-serve points won60%61%

Return points won51%48%

Aces / match1.42.1

ClutchLast 28 vs 60 matches

Break points saved59%57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Mainly clear

Wind20 km/h

Humidity56%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Burel C.Romero Gormaz L.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days3

49Games · 7 days61

3Matches · 14 days3

49Games · 14 days61

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clara Burel vs Leyre Romero Gormaz — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/burel-vs-gormaz-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-f?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).