Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero GormazHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 16
#45WTA
1773ELO
1733Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#153WTA
1616ELO
1583Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLLW
Oliynykova O.
vs
Romero Gormaz L.

Oleksandra Oliynykova faces Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. Oleksandra Oliynykova holds the paper edge — ranked #45, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Oliynykova O.72%
Romero Gormaz L.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Oliynykova O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+150 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1583
7.0Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Oliynykova O.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Romero Gormaz L.

Romero Gormaz L.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Oliynykova O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
19
Break points saved·Dominant
75
46
Break points won·Slight edge
99
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
22
Tiebreaks·
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
84

Oliynykova O.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 79 games (7d) · Romero Gormaz L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw