Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce | Jinan Final

UMPIRY

JinanFinalHardSun 18 Oct · 16:00CENTER COURT · Next on

Mattia Bellucci(8)ATP #86 · ITA64%

VSSlight edge · Bellucci M.

Martin Landaluce(5)ATP #73 · ESP36%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bellucci M.

64%36%

Bellucci M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bellucci M.5.5/10

Slight disadvantage

Landaluce M.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+7 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Landaluce M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1726Against the prediction · Landaluce M.

Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Landaluce M.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Landaluce M.

Recent run4-match win streakBoth players

ELO1 879

Hard ELO1 743

Last 108–2

Age25

Height175 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $662K

ELO1 846

Hard ELO1 713

Last 105–5

Age20

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $972K

Mattia Bellucci faces Martin Landaluce in the Jinan final on hard. Martin Landaluce is the paper favourite — ranked #73, leading the head-to-head 4–1 — but Mattia Bellucci arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard to Martin Landaluce's 4 of 8.

Key context

Freshness: Mattia Bellucci comes in with 1 days of rest and 189 games in 14d, vs Martin Landaluce's 1 and 86.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Martin Landaluce has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 59 vs 24).
Head-to-head: Martin Landaluce leads the head-to-head 4–1, 1–2 on hard. Last met at Winston-Salem 2026.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Bellucci M. and Landaluce M. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bellucci M. went 0–3 (0%) against them, Landaluce M. 1–1 (50%).

0–30%Bellucci M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Landaluce M. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–7Sets2–2

31–51Games23–21

0–0Tiebreaks0–1

0–2Deciding sets1–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Fritz T.#12L7-5 5-7 5-7Stuttgart · grassL5-7Stuttgart · grass
vs Darderi L.#21L6-2 4-6 2-6Winston-Salem · hardW6-3 6-7 6-4Miami Masters · hard

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Landaluce M. leads 4–1

Hard: Landaluce M. leads 2–1 · Clay: Landaluce M. leads 1–0 · Grass: Landaluce M. leads 1–0

Bellucci M.August 2026Winston-SalemHard4-6 7-6(3) 1-6
Landaluce M.May 2026Rome MastersClay4-6 3-6
Landaluce M.June 2025Birmingham CHGrass4-6 6-4 7-6
Landaluce M.December 2024Canberra CHHard6-3 6-2
Landaluce M.October 2024Olbia CHHard6-4 6-4

Evidence

Bellucci M.Landaluce M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–25–5

Season win rate57% (37–28)53% (32–28)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18791846

Hard-court ELO17431713

Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 52 matches

1st-serve points won73%70%

Return points won37%38%

Aces / match6.45.3

ClutchLast 60 vs 52 matches

Break points saved64%63%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · Next on · Starts at 16:00

1This match: Bellucci M. v Landaluce M.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 16:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast18°C · Partly cloudy

Wind6 km/h

Humidity35%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Bellucci M.Landaluce M.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days3

55Games · 7 days66

8Matches · 14 days4

189Games · 14 days86

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce — Jinan Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/bellucci-vs-landaluce-jinan-f?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).