Giorgio Tabacco vs Eero Vasa | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

M25 Santa Margherita di PulaR16ClayWed 14 Oct · 09:05

Giorgio TabaccoATP #700 · ITA50%

VSToss-up

Eero Vasa(8)ATP #445 · FIN50%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tabacco G.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Vasa E.3.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Surface form5 of last 10 on clayFavours Tabacco G.

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on clayFavours Tabacco G.

Recent runLost last 2Both players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 641

Clay ELO1 591

Last 106–4

Age23

Height203 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 651

Clay ELO1 607

Last 108–2

Age29

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

Giorgio Tabacco faces Eero Vasa in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula round of 16 on clay. They have met 2 times, Giorgio Tabacco leading 2–0.

Key context

Last match: Giorgio Tabacco edged M. Sciahbasi in three tight sets (7–6 4–6 6–4).
Last match: Eero Vasa edged Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Head-to-head: Giorgio Tabacco leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Vicenza CH 2026.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Tabacco G. leads 2–0

Tabacco G.May 2026Vicenza CHClay7-6 7-5
Tabacco G.May 2026VicenzaClay7-5

Evidence

Tabacco G.Vasa E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–48–2

Season win rate58% (22–16)56% (29–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16411651

Clay-court ELO15911607

Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 37 matches

1st-serve points won69%72%

Return points won46%38%

Aces / match3.16.2

ClutchLast 22 vs 37 matches

Break points saved55%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:05 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast19°C · Clear

Wind7 km/h

Humidity69%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Giorgio Tabacco vs Eero Vasa — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/tabacco-vs-vasa-m25-santa-margherita-di-pula-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).