Fausto Tabacco vs Giorgio Tabacco

UMPIRY

M25 Santa Margherita di PulaQuarter-finalClayThu 15 Oct · 11:30

Fausto TabaccoATP #470 · ITA45%

VSToss-up

Giorgio TabaccoATP #700 · ITA55%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tabacco F.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Tabacco G.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Tabacco F.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headSplit 2–2 on claySupports Tabacco G.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 635

Clay ELO1 568

Last 106–4

Age24

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $77K2026 $11K

ELO1 644

Clay ELO1 595

Last 106–4

Age23

Height203 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $58K2026 $10K

Fausto Tabacco faces Giorgio Tabacco in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula quarter-final on clay. Fausto Tabacco holds the paper edge — ranked #470, leading the head-to-head 4–2.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Giorgio Tabacco rising, Fausto Tabacco cooling.
Head-to-head: Fausto Tabacco leads the head-to-head 4–2, 2–2 on clay. Last met at M25 Sintra 2026.
Last match: Fausto Tabacco dropped just 4 games past Marcel Zielinski.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

6 meetings · Tabacco F. leads 4–2

Hard: Tabacco F. leads 2–0 · Clay: level 2–2

Tabacco F.September 2026M25 SintraHard6-7(6) 1-6
Tabacco G.September 2025M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9Clay6-3 6-4
Tabacco F.February 2025M15 Monastir 7Hard6-2 6-7(4) 10-7
Tabacco F.October 2022M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10Clay6-3 2-6 6-2
Tabacco F.September 2022M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7Clay3-6 7-5 6-2

Evidence

Tabacco F.Tabacco G.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate66% (19–10)59% (23–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16351644

Clay-court ELO15681595

Serve vs returnLast 27 vs 28 matches

1st-serve points won63%69%

Return points won47%45%

Aces / match1.93.0

ClutchLast 27 vs 28 matches

Break points saved57%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast23°C · Overcast

Wind3 km/h

Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Tabacco F.Tabacco G.

15Days since last match17

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

0Matches · 14 days0

0Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Fausto Tabacco vs Giorgio Tabacco — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/tabacco-vs-tabacco-m25-santa-margherita-di-pula-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).