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Zichen Shao vs Anton Shepp — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32

M25 Qian DaohuR32HardWed 14 Oct · 02:05 UTC
Zichen ShaoCHN25%
VSClear favourite · Shepp A.
Anton Shepp(8)ATP #504 · NZL75%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Shepp A.
25%75%

Clear edge for Shepp A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shao Z.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Shepp A.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 489
Hard ELO1 489
Last 103–7
Age18
ELO1 575
Hard ELO1 559
Last 103–7
Age23

Zichen Shao faces Anton Shepp in the M25 Qian Daohu round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Anton Shepp carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Shao Z.Shepp A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–73–7
Season win rate60% (3–2) (ahead)38% (6–10)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14891575 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14891559 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 8 matches
1st-serve points won62%69% (ahead)
Return points won43% (ahead)35%
Aces / match1.55.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 4 vs 8 matches
Break points saved39%46% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zichen Shao vs Anton Shepp — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/shao-vs-shepp-m25-qian-daohu-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).