Kristjan Tamm vs Anton Shepp | M25 Qian Daohu Round of 16

UMPIRY

M25 Qian DaohuR16HardThu 15 Oct · 02:00 UTC

Kristjan TammEST45%

VSToss-up

Anton Shepp(8)ATP #504 · NZL55%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tamm K.4.3/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Shepp A.3.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Tamm K.

Recent runLost last 5Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 564

Hard ELO1 554

Last 106–4

Age28

ELO1 578

Hard ELO1 563

Last 104–6

Age23

Kristjan Tamm faces Anton Shepp in the M25 Qian Daohu round of 16 on hard. Kristjan Tamm brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Kristjan Tamm dropped just 5 games past Xing Dao Chen.
Last match: Anton Shepp advanced when Zichen Shao retired.
Surface form: Kristjan Tamm 6 of 10, Anton Shepp 4 of 10 on hard recently — Kristjan Tamm the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tamm K.Shepp A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate59% (10–7)41% (7–10)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15641578

Hard-court ELO15541563

Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 10 matches

1st-serve points won74%68%

Return points won36%35%

Aces / match7.75.5

ClutchLast 14 vs 10 matches

Break points saved53%41%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kristjan Tamm vs Anton Shepp — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/shepp-vs-tamm-m25-qian-daohu-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).