Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer | Olbia Round of 16

UMPIRY

OlbiaR16HardWed 14 Oct · 11:00CLOTO ARENA · Next on

Stefano TravagliaATP #173 · ITA30%

VSClear favourite · Royer V.

Valentin Royer(3)ATP #105 · FRA70%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Royer V.

30%70%

Clear edge for Royer V. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Travaglia S.4.6/10

Heavy underdog

Royer V.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+46 Hard Elo edgeSupports Royer V.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1641Supports Royer V.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Royer V.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 716

Hard ELO1 650

Last 102–8

Age34

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $177K

ELO1 820

Hard ELO1 665

Last 105–5

Age25

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.9M2026 $789K

Stefano Travaglia faces Valentin Royer in the Olbia round of 16 on hard. Valentin Royer holds the paper edge — ranked #105, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Stefano Travaglia 0 games in 14 days, Valentin Royer 16.
Under pressure: Valentin Royer has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 59 vs Stefano Travaglia's 6).
Last match: Stefano Travaglia dropped the opening set before beating Viktor Durasovic 3–6 7–5 6–3.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Travaglia S. and Royer V. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Travaglia S. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Royer V. 1–1 (50%).

0–20%Travaglia S. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Royer V. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–4Sets3–3

21–28Games26–27

0–1Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Vallejo D.#52L6-7(5) 2-6Bastad · clayL3-6 1-6Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Wendelken H.#182L4-6 6-3 3-6US Open · hardW4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3Wimbledon · grass

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Travaglia S.Royer V.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss2–85–5

Season win rate53% (29–26)43% (23–30)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17161820

Hard-court ELO16501665

Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 47 matches

1st-serve points won71%69%

Return points won41%36%

Aces / match5.95.4

ClutchLast 42 vs 47 matches

Break points saved58%61%

When it starts

CLOTO ARENA · Next on · Starts at 11:00

1This match: Travaglia S. v Royer V.This match
2Guerrieri A. v Kasnikowski M.Followed by
3Mmoh M. v Rincon D.Not before 15:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CLOTO ARENA · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast23°C · Mainly clear

Wind1 km/h

Humidity56%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Travaglia S.Royer V.

21Days since last match5

0Matches · 7 days1

0Games · 7 days16

0Matches · 14 days1

0Games · 14 days16

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer — Olbia Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/royer-vs-travaglia-olbia-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).