Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia — Bastad Quarter-final
Vallejo A.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo faces Stefano Travaglia in the Bastad quarter-final on clay. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo holds the paper edge — ranked #71, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Vallejo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo comes in with 1 days of rest and 50 games in 14d, vs Stefano Travaglia's 1 and 18.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 53 vs 33).
- Last match: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo dropped the opening set before beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 4–6 6–3 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVallejo A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Travaglia S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.