Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic — Jinan Round of 32
Why
Surface+266 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Vukic A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1630Against the prediction · Vukic A.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Matsuoka H.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 664
Hard ELO1 632
Last 106–4
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $89K2026 $39K
ELO1 769
Hard ELO1 697
Last 104–6
Age30
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.1M2026 $576K
Hayato Matsuoka faces Aleksandar Vukic in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Aleksandar Vukic is the paper favourite — ranked #115, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage — but Hayato Matsuoka arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Aleksandar Vukic's 4 of 10.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Hayato Matsuoka 50 games in 14 days, Aleksandar Vukic 69.
- Form trend: Hayato Matsuoka's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Aleksandar Vukic's has cooled.
- Surface form: Hayato Matsuoka 6 of 10, Aleksandar Vukic 4 of 10 on hard recently — Hayato Matsuoka the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Matsuoka H.Vukic A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate55% (31–25) (ahead)43% (23–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16641769 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16321697 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 35 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)70%
Return points won39% (ahead)35%
Aces / match4.06.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 40 vs 35 matches
Break points saved57%57%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/matsuoka-vs-vukic-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).