Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki — Jinan Round of 32
Why
Surface+12 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Watanuki Y.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1543Informative
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Watanuki Y.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Watanuki Y.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Watanuki Y.
ELO1 711
Hard ELO1 652
Last 104–6
Age25
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $162K2026 $71K
ELO1 748
Hard ELO1 674
Last 104–6
Age28
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $74K
Andre Ilagan faces Yosuke Watanuki in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Yosuke Watanuki holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Andre Ilagan comes in with 8 days of rest and 93 games in 14d, vs Yosuke Watanuki's 1 and 29.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andre Ilagan has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 37 vs 12).
- Last match: Yosuke Watanuki dropped just 4 games past Kaito Uesugi.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
2 meetings · Watanuki Y. leads 2–002
- Watanuki Y.July 2026WinnipegHard7-6(3) 7-5
- Watanuki Y.June 2026CaryHard3-6 6-0 6-3
Evidence
Ilagan A.Watanuki Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate59% (36–25) (ahead)42% (10–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17111748 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16521674 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 12 matches
1st-serve points won69%73% (ahead)
Return points won38%38%
Aces / match4.86.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 41 vs 12 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)56%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/ilagan-vs-watanuki-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).