UMPIRY
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J. Sun vs Jiangxue Han — W15 Shenzhen Round of 32

W15 ShenzhenR32HardWed 14 Oct · 09:05
J. SunCHN24%
VSClear favourite · Han J.
Jiangxue HanWTA #755 · CHN76%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Han J.
24%76%

Clear edge for Han J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sun J.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Han J.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface switchCarpet → HardAgainst the prediction · Sun J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 465
Hard ELO1 467
Last 103–7
Age20
ELO1 567
Hard ELO1 554
Last 105–5
Age24

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sun J.Han J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate33% (5–10)46% (12–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14651567 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14671554 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 22 matches
1st-serve points won49%58% (ahead)
Return points won44%48% (ahead)
Aces / match0.00.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 5 vs 22 matches
Break points saved44%45% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind10 km/h
Humidity63%

Cite this

Umpiry, "J. Sun vs Jiangxue Han — W15 Shenzhen Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/han-vs-sun-w15-shenzhen-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).