Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 16

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Galfi D.
63%37%

Galfi D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Galfi D.7.2/10
Strong advantage
Jorge M.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+330 Clay Elo edgeSupports Galfi D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1677Supports Galfi D.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 745
Clay ELO1 663
Last 106–4
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.7M2026 $414K
ELO1 665
Clay ELO1 517
Last 107–3
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $239K2026 $91K

Dalma Galfi faces Matilde Jorge in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon round of 16 on clay. Dalma Galfi holds the paper edge — ranked #152, a roughly 330-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Galfi D. and Jorge M. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Galfi D. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Jorge M. 1–1 (50%).

0–20%Galfi D. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Jorge M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–4Sets1–1
25–32Games7–11
1–2Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Galfi D.Jorge M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate45% (21–26)55% (28–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1745 (ahead)1665
Clay-court ELO1663 (ahead)1517
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)62%
Return points won43%45% (ahead)
Aces / match4.3 (ahead)1.6
ClutchLast 47 vs 48 matches
Break points saved56%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast22°C · Partly cloudy
Wind3 km/h
Humidity57%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Galfi D.Jorge M.
1Days since last match1
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
36Games · 7 days19 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
88Games · 14 days19 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/galfi-vs-jorge-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).