Dalma Galfi vs Beatriz Castro — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 32

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonR32ClayTue 13 Oct · 10:00
VSStrong favourite · Galfi D.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Galfi D.
86%14%

Clear edge for Galfi D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Galfi D.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Castro B.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Surface switchHard → ClayBoth players
ELO1 744
Clay ELO1 661
Last 106–4
Age28
PlaysRight
ELO1 485
Clay ELO1 497
Last 101–5
Age17
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Galfi D.Castro B.
FormLast 10 vs 6 matches · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)1–5
Season win rate43% (20–26) (ahead)25% (1–3)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1744 (ahead)1485
Clay-court ELO1661 (ahead)1497
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 3 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)52%
Return points won43% (ahead)27%
Aces / match4.3 (ahead)0.7
ClutchLast 44 vs 3 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)26%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast18°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity78%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dalma Galfi vs Beatriz Castro — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/castro-vs-galfi-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).