Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo | M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 Qian DaohuR32HardWed 14 Oct · 03:05 UTC

Yaroslav DeminATP #653 · RUS38%

VSSlight edge · Peliwo F.

Filip PeliwoATP #661 · POL62%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Peliwo F.

38%62%

Peliwo F. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Demin Y.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Peliwo F.6.1/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Peliwo F.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 555

Hard ELO1 533

Last 105–5

Age21

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $48K2026 $10K

ELO1 604

Hard ELO1 585

Last 106–4

Age32

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $437K2026 $12K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Demin Y.Peliwo F.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate47% (7–8)36% (13–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15551604

Hard-court ELO15331585

Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 28 matches

1st-serve points won69%68%

Return points won42%37%

Aces / match3.53.4

ClutchLast 13 vs 28 matches

Break points saved61%65%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Demin Y.Peliwo F.

6Days since last match6

1Matches · 7 days2

18Games · 7 days42

2Matches · 14 days2

38Games · 14 days42

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/demin-vs-peliwo-m25-qian-daohu-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).