Yiming Dang vs Chengyiyi Yuan — W15 Shenzhen Round of 32

W15 ShenzhenR32HardWed 14 Oct · 12:05
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Yuan C.
19%81%

Clear edge for Yuan C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dang Y.3.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Yuan C.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardSupports Yuan C.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Yuan C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 465
Hard ELO1 454
Last 104–6
Age22
EarningsCareer $51K2026 $23K
ELO1 584
Hard ELO1 565
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $84K2026 $24K

Yiming Dang faces Chengyiyi Yuan in the W15 Shenzhen round of 32 on hard. Chengyiyi Yuan is the paper favourite — ranked #429, leading the head-to-head 2–0 — but Yiming Dang arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 6 on hard to Chengyiyi Yuan's 1 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Yuan C. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Dang Y.Yuan C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate41% (7–10)58% (31–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14651584 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14541565 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won63%67% (ahead)
Return points won45%45%
Aces / match2.4 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 14 vs 40 matches
Break points saved50%53% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Drizzle
Wind15 km/h
Humidity63%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Dang Y.Yuan C.
15 — fresherDays since last match9
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days1
0 — fresherGames · 14 days29
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yiming Dang vs Chengyiyi Yuan — W15 Shenzhen Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/dang-vs-yuan-w15-shenzhen-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).