Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Chengyiyi Yuan — W15 Shenzhen Round of 16

W15 ShenzhenR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Wong H.
68%32%

Clear edge for Wong H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Wong H.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Yuan C.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 6 on hardSupports Wong H.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Wong H.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 643
Hard ELO1 622
Last 106–4
Age24
EarningsCareer $142K2026 $24K
ELO1 584
Hard ELO1 565
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $84K2026 $24K

Hong Yi Cody Wong faces Chengyiyi Yuan in the W15 Shenzhen round of 16 on hard. Chengyiyi Yuan holds the paper edge — ranked #429. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Wong H.Yuan C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate63% (12–7) (ahead)59% (32–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1643 (ahead)1584
Hard-court ELO1622 (ahead)1565
Serve vs returnLast 19 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won62%67% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.41.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 19 vs 40 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Mainly clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity61%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Chengyiyi Yuan — W15 Shenzhen Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/wong-vs-yuan-w15-shenzhen-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).