Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen | M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 Qian DaohuR32HardWed 14 Oct · 02:05 UTC

Kristjan TammEST68%

VSClear favourite · Tamm K.

Xing Dao ChenCHN32%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Tamm K.

68%32%

Clear edge for Tamm K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tamm K.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Chen X.4.3/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardSupports Tamm K.

Recent runLost last 7Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 561

Hard ELO1 550

Last 106–4

Age28

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 515

Hard ELO1 514

Last 104–6

Age22

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

Kristjan Tamm faces Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Qian Daohu round of 32 on hard. Kristjan Tamm brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Xing Dao Chen dropped just 4 games past Xiaoyin Yang.
Surface form: Kristjan Tamm 6 of 10, Xing Dao Chen 4 of 10 on hard recently — Kristjan Tamm the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tamm K.Chen X.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate56% (9–7)38% (6–10)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15611515

Hard-court ELO15501514

Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 8 matches

1st-serve points won75%63%

Return points won37%39%

Aces / match8.01.1

ClutchLast 13 vs 8 matches

Break points saved54%52%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/chen-vs-tamm-m25-qian-daohu-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).