Robin Bertrand vs Mohamed Ali Abibsi | M15 Monastir Round of 32

UMPIRY

M15 MonastirR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:21

Robin Bertrand(1)ATP #396 · FRA82%

VSStrong favourite · Bertrand R.

Mohamed Ali AbibsiALG18%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Bertrand R.

82%18%

Clear edge for Bertrand R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bertrand R.5.9/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Abibsi M.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 669

Hard ELO1 657

Last 106–4

Age23

ELO1 515

Hard ELO1 517

Last 105–5

Age24

Robin Bertrand faces Mohamed Ali Abibsi in the M15 Monastir round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Mohamed Ali Abibsi edged G. Ravasio in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 10–8).
Fatigue load: Mohamed Ali Abibsi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Robin Bertrand 6 of 10, Mohamed Ali Abibsi 5 of 10 on hard recently — Robin Bertrand the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bertrand R.Abibsi M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate50% (28–28)50% (6–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16691515

Hard-court ELO16571517

Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 7 matches

1st-serve points won64%67%

Return points won42%37%

Aces / match2.12.0

ClutchLast 53 vs 7 matches

Break points saved56%50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:21 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast24°C · Mainly clear

Wind17 km/h

Humidity62%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Robin Bertrand vs Mohamed Ali Abibsi — M15 Monastir Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/abibsi-vs-bertrand-m15-monastir-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).