Robin Bertrand vs Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf

UMPIRY

M15 MonastirR16HardThu 15 Oct · 10:30

Robin Bertrand(1)ATP #396 · FRA85%

VSStrong favourite · Bertrand R.

Mohamed Nazim MakhloufALG15%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Bertrand R.

85%15%

Clear edge for Bertrand R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bertrand R.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Makhlouf N.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 672

Hard ELO1 659

Last 106–4

Age23

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 538

Hard ELO1 537

Last 106–4

Age30

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

Robin Bertrand faces Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf in the M15 Monastir round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Robin Bertrand dropped just 6 games past Mohamed Ali Abibsi.
Last match: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf handed Ahmed Darmoul a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bertrand R.Makhlouf N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate51% (29–28)44% (11–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16721538

Hard-court ELO16591537

Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 15 matches

1st-serve points won64%67%

Return points won42%38%

Aces / match2.12.6

ClutchLast 54 vs 15 matches

Break points saved56%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast23°C · Partly cloudy

Wind13 km/h

Humidity66%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Robin Bertrand vs Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf — M15 Monastir Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/bertrand-vs-makhlouf-m15-monastir-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).