Theo Papamalamis vs Matei Cristian Onofrei

UMPIRY

M15 LexingtonR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05

Theo Papamalamis(5)ATP #658 · FRA85%

VSStrong favourite · Papamalamis T.

Matei Cristian OnofreiROU15%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Papamalamis T.

85%15%

Clear edge for Papamalamis T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Papamalamis T.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Onofrei M.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 612

Hard ELO1 535

Last 107–3

Age20

PlaysRight

ELO1 515

Hard ELO1 498

Last 106–4

Age20

PlaysRight

Theo Papamalamis faces Matei Cristian Onofrei in the M15 Lexington round of 32 on hard. Theo Papamalamis brings the better recent hard form (3 of 4).

Key context

Surface form: Theo Papamalamis 3 of 4, Matei Cristian Onofrei 2 of 4 on hard recently — Theo Papamalamis the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Theo Papamalamis carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Papamalamis T.Onofrei M.

FormLast 10 matches each

Win–loss7–36–4

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16121515

Hard-court ELO15351498

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast29°C · Clear

Wind19 km/h

Humidity36%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Theo Papamalamis vs Matei Cristian Onofrei — M15 Lexington Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/onofrei-vs-papamalamis-m15-lexington-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).