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Theo Papamalamis vs Hoyoung Roh — M15 Lexington Round of 16

M15 LexingtonR16HardThu 15 Oct · 10:00
Theo Papamalamis(5)ATP #658 · FRA72%
VSClear favourite · Papamalamis T.
Hoyoung RohATP #855 · KOR28%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Papamalamis T.
72%28%

Clear edge for Papamalamis T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Papamalamis T.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Roh H.3.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Papamalamis T.
Recent runLost last 7Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 615
Hard ELO1 539
Last 107–3
Age20
EarningsCareer $70K2026 $11K
ELO1 533
Hard ELO1 531
Last 107–3
Age20
EarningsCareer $25K2026 $6K

Theo Papamalamis faces Hoyoung Roh in the M15 Lexington round of 16 on hard. Theo Papamalamis holds the paper edge — ranked #658.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Papamalamis T.Roh H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate75% (24–8) (ahead)72% (13–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1615 (ahead)1533
Hard-court ELO1539 (ahead)1531
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 3 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)67%
Return points won44% (ahead)36%
Aces / match1.9 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 23 vs 3 matches
Break points saved66%68% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity96%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Theo Papamalamis vs Hoyoung Roh — M15 Lexington Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/papamalamis-vs-roh-m15-lexington-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).