Mili Poljicak vs Francesco Maestrelli — Olbia Round of 32
Why
Surface+254 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Maestrelli F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1538Against the prediction · Maestrelli F.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Maestrelli F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 706
Hard ELO1 564
Last 103–7
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $240K2026 $53K
ELO1 705
Hard ELO1 646
Last 104–6
Age23
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $921K2026 $338K
Mili Poljicak faces Francesco Maestrelli in the Olbia round of 32 on hard. Francesco Maestrelli is the paper favourite — ranked #171, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage — but Mili Poljicak arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Francesco Maestrelli's 1 of 4.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Mili Poljicak 75 games in 14 days, Francesco Maestrelli 29.
- Under pressure: Francesco Maestrelli has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 56 vs Mili Poljicak's 23).
- Surface form: Mili Poljicak 2 of 4, Francesco Maestrelli 1 of 4 on hard recently — Mili Poljicak the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Poljicak M.Maestrelli F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (23–17) (ahead)40% (17–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1706 (ahead)1705
Hard-court ELO15641646 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 31 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)71%
Return points won39% (ahead)36%
Aces / match5.36.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 25 vs 31 matches
Break points saved56%64% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Mili Poljicak vs Francesco Maestrelli — Olbia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/maestrelli-vs-poljicak-olbia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).