Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur | Olbia Round of 32

UMPIRY

OlbiaR32HardTue 13 Oct · ~15:00CLOTO ARENA · Next on

Aziz DougazATP #430 · TUN60%

VSSlight edge · Dougaz A.

Damir Dzumhur(2)ATP #103 · BIH40%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Dougaz A.

60%40%

Dougaz A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Dougaz A.5.5/10

Slight disadvantage

Dzumhur D.6.3/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+221 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Dzumhur D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1638Against the prediction · Dzumhur D.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Dzumhur D.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 758

Hard ELO1 713

Last 107–3

Age29

Height188 cm

PlaysLeft

ELO1 797

Hard ELO1 644

Last 104–6

Age34

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

Aziz Dougaz faces Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia round of 32 on hard. Damir Dzumhur is the paper favourite — ranked #103, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage — but Aziz Dougaz arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Damir Dzumhur's 2 of 6.

Key context

Under pressure: In the tight moments, Damir Dzumhur has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 63 vs 8).
Surface form: Aziz Dougaz 4 of 6, Damir Dzumhur 2 of 6 on hard recently — Aziz Dougaz the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Aziz Dougaz carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Dougaz A. and Dzumhur D. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Dougaz A. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Dzumhur D. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Dougaz A. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Dzumhur D. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets2–1

13–16Games19–15

0–0Tiebreaks1–1

0–1Deciding sets1–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Cina F.#147L3-6 6-4 4-6Shanghai Masters · hardW6-7 6-2 7-6Brussels · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dougaz A.Dzumhur D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate68% (27–13)38% (18–29)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17581797

Hard-court ELO17131644

Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 35 matches

1st-serve points won74%62%

Return points won36%39%

Aces / match6.81.4

ClutchLast 25 vs 35 matches

Break points saved70%55%

When it starts

CLOTO ARENA · Next on · Followed by

1Pieri S. v Rincon D.0-6 2-6
2Travaglia S. v Durasovic V.3-6 7-5 6-3
3This match: Dougaz A. v Dzumhur D.This match
4Nardi L. v Holmgren A.Followed by
5Poljicak M. v Maestrelli F.Not before 17:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CLOTO ARENA · ~15:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast24°C · Clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity32%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Dougaz A.Dzumhur D.

7Days since last match5

1Matches · 7 days2

29Games · 7 days51

2Matches · 14 days3

64Games · 14 days69

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur — Olbia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/dougaz-vs-dzumhur-olbia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).