UMPIRY
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Jan Kumstat vs Edas Butvilas — Olbia Round of 32

OlbiaR32HardTue 13 Oct · 11:00
Jan KumstatATP #191 · CZE45%
VSToss-up
Edas ButvilasATP #199 · LTU55%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kumstat J.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Butvilas E.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 6 on hardAgainst the prediction · Kumstat J.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Butvilas E.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 674
Hard ELO1 522
Last 109–1
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $76K2026 $50K
ELO1 718
Hard ELO1 664
Last 105–5
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $325K2026 $103K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kumstat J.Butvilas E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate79% (30–8) (ahead)57% (36–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16741718 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15221664 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)71%
Return points won39%39%
Aces / match7.2 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 22 vs 53 matches
Break points saved67% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast22°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity47%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jan Kumstat vs Edas Butvilas — Olbia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/butvilas-vs-kumstat-olbia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).