Hanna Chang vs Madison Brengle | W100 Edmond Round of 32

UMPIRY

W100 EdmondR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05

Hanna ChangWTA #289 · USA30%

VSClear favourite · Brengle M.

Madison BrengleWTA #188 · USA70%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Brengle M.

30%70%

Clear edge for Brengle M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Chang H.4.3/10

Heavy underdog

Brengle M.6.1/10

Even match

Why

Surface+225 Hard Elo edgeSupports Brengle M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1575Supports Brengle M.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative

CountryWon 71% in USA (189)Supports Brengle M.

ELO1 655

Hard ELO1 619

Last 105–5

Age28

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $509K2026 $31K

ELO1 718

Hard ELO1 635

Last 107–3

Age36

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $104K

Hanna Chang faces Madison Brengle in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Madison Brengle holds the paper edge — ranked #188, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Fatigue load: Madison Brengle carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Madison Brengle leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W100 Nicholasville 1 2020.
Surface form: Hanna Chang 5 of 10, Madison Brengle 7 of 10 on hard recently — Madison Brengle the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Chang H. and Brengle M. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Chang H. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Brengle M. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Chang H. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Brengle M. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets0–2

14–16Games4–12

0–1Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Stoiana M.#114L6-3 6-7 2-6Midland 125 · hardL2-6 2-6Midland 125 · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Brengle M. leads 1–0

Brengle M.February 2020W100 Nicholasville 1Hard6-4 6-4

Evidence

Chang H.Brengle M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate67% (33–16)59% (37–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16551718

Hard-court ELO16191635

Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 54 matches

1st-serve points won63%54%

Return points won48%51%

Aces / match1.20.0

ClutchLast 38 vs 54 matches

Break points saved49%50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast33°C · Clear

Wind22 km/h

Humidity49%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hanna Chang vs Madison Brengle — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/brengle-vs-chang-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).