Mary Stoiana vs Hanna Chang — Midland 125 Round of 32

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Mary Stoiana
#130WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
USA
Hanna Chang
#329WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Stoiana M.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Chang H.
Stoiana M.
371162
Chang H.
66921

Mary Stoiana defeated Hanna Chang 3-6 7-6 6-2 in the Midland 125 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mary Stoiana came in ranked #130.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Stoiana M.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Chang H.

Chang H.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Stoiana M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Stoiana M.Chang H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stoiana M.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Chang H.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+253 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1314
7.7Overall Elo 1656
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1354
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.3
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stoiana M.Chang H.
Freshness·
64
—

Stoiana M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Charaeva A.
Guo H.
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Charaeva A.
Vidmanova D.
3-66-36-4
Guo H.
Stoiana M.
7-646-727-5
Quarter-finals
Stoiana M.
Sebov K.
6-36-4
Guo H.
Kalieva E.
6-22-67-68
Charaeva A.
Hibino N.
7-656-3
Vidmanova D.
Frey A.
6-26-2
R16
Sebov K.
Cross K.
6-26-2
Stoiana M.
Brengle M.
6-26-2
Kalieva E.
Hosogi S.
6-26-2
Charaeva A.
You X.
6-47-64
Hibino N.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-4
Frey A.
Day K.
6-43-66-3
Vidmanova D.
Lee G.
6-26-2
Guo H.
Jokic K.
6-11-0
R32
Lee G.
Ma L.
6-26-3
Kalieva E.
Rogers A.
6-46-2
Hosogi S.
Liu C.
3-66-16-3
Sebov K.
Krueger A.
7-52-67-5
Cross K.
Brace C.
6-45-76-4
Jokic K.
Jones E.
6-42-66-2
Guo H.
Chirico L.
3-66-46-2
You X.
Karatancheva L.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Ansari C.
6-25-76-4
Frey A.
Mandlik E.
7-56-2
Day K.
Coleman E.
6-46-2
Brengle M.
Scott K.
6-36-2
Stoiana M.
Chang H.
3-67-696-2
Charaeva A.
Xu S.
6-06-4
Osuigwe W.
Hewitt D.
6-46-3
Vidmanova D.
Sawashiro K.
6-26-1