Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova | Wuhan Round of 128

UMPIRY

WuhanR128HardMon 12 Oct · ~12:30Dongfeng·Voyah Center Court · After 1 match

Iva Jovic(10)WTA #13 · USA82%

VSStrong favourite · Jovic I.

Mia PohankovaWTA #193 · SVK18%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Jovic I.

82%18%

Clear edge for Jovic I. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Jovic I.7.7/10

Dominant favourite

Pohankova M.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+210 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jovic I.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1906Supports Jovic I.

This eventReached the last 16 here last yearSupports Jovic I.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO2 038

Hard ELO1 851

Last 108–2

Age18

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $2.6M

ELO1 667

Hard ELO1 626

Last 107–3

Age17

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $93K2026 $65K

Iva Jovic faces Mia Pohankova in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Iva Jovic holds the paper edge — ranked #13, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Iva Jovic comes in with 4 days of rest and 61 games in 14d, vs Mia Pohankova's 15 and 0.
Stage: Iva Jovic defends last year's round of 16.
Surface form: Iva Jovic 8 of 10, Mia Pohankova 7 of 10 on hard recently — Iva Jovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Jovic I. and Pohankova M. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jovic I. went 5–0 (100%) against them, Pohankova M. 1–2 (33%). Jovic I. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Pohankova M. against 0.

5–0100%Jovic I. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents1–233%Pohankova M. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

10–1Sets1–4

67–33Games14–26

0–1Tiebreaks0–0

1–0Deciding sets0–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Tjen J.#49W6-0 6-1Hobart · hardL3-6 1-6Chennai · hard
vs Korpatsch T.#53W6-4 6-3Cincinnati · hardW6-2Berlin · grass
vs Linette M.#80W6-4 6-1Madrid · clayL2-6 2-6s Hertogenbosch · grass

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jovic I.Pohankova M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–27–3

Season win rate66% (41–21)61% (22–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20381667

Hard-court ELO18511626

Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 34 matches

1st-serve points won66%67%

Return points won46%45%

Aces / match2.34.5

ClutchLast 59 vs 34 matches

Break points saved58%60%

When it starts

Dongfeng·Voyah Center Court · After 1 match · Followed by

1Alexandrova E. v Fernandez L.Starting at 11:00 AM
2This match: Jovic I. v Pohankova M.This match
3Sakkari M. v Vekic D.Followed by
4Wang X. v Wang X.Not before 7:30 PM
5Eala A. v Shi H.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Dongfeng·Voyah Center Court · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast28°C · Clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity49%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Jovic I.Pohankova M.

4Days since last match15

2Matches · 7 days0

35Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days0

61Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/jovic-vs-pohankova-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).