Mika Brunold vs M. Domenc | Roanne Round of 32

UMPIRY

RoanneR32HardMon 12 Oct · 15:30COURT 1 BELGIQUE · After 1 match

Mika BrunoldATP #261 · SUI75%

VSClear favourite · Brunold M.

M. DomencFRA25%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Brunold M.

75%25%

Clear edge for Brunold M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Brunold M.6.1/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Domenc M.5.9/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative

Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Domenc M.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 729

Hard ELO1 566

Last 109–1

Age22

ELO1 513

Hard ELO1 501

Last 106–4

Age17

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brunold M.Domenc M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–16–4

Season win rate69% (29–13)56% (9–7)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17291513

Hard-court ELO15661501

Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 14 matches

1st-serve points won67%70%

Return points won42%39%

Aces / match2.63.9

ClutchLast 30 vs 14 matches

Break points saved59%63%

When it starts

COURT 1 BELGIQUE · After 1 match · Not before 15:30

1Poullain L. v Paris T.Starts at 10:30
2This match: Brunold M. v Domenc M.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 BELGIQUE · 15:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast18°C · Partly cloudy

Wind1 km/h

Humidity45%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mika Brunold vs M. Domenc — Roanne Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/brunold-vs-domenc-roanne-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).