Daniel Jade vs Etienne Donnet | M15 Rodez Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 RodezR16HardThu 8 Oct · 14:05

Daniel Jade(4)ATP #621 · FRA27%

VSClear favourite · Donnet E.

Etienne DonnetATP #817 · FRA73%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Donnet E.

27%73%

Clear edge for Donnet E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Jade D.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Donnet E.4.2/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Donnet E.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 547

Hard ELO1 511

Last 107–3

Age17

ELO1 657

Hard ELO1 637

Last 108–2

Age25

Daniel Jade faces Etienne Donnet in the M15 Rodez round of 16 on hard. Daniel Jade holds the paper edge — ranked #621. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Etienne Donnet dropped the opening set before beating Amaury Raynel 4–6 6–1 6–4.
Fatigue load: Etienne Donnet carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Daniel Jade 7 of 9, Etienne Donnet 8 of 9 on hard recently — Etienne Donnet the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jade D.Donnet E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–38–2

Season win rate57% (13–10)73% (8–3)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15471657

Hard-court ELO15111637

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:05 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast11°C · Overcast

Wind19 km/h

Humidity82%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daniel Jade vs Etienne Donnet — M15 Rodez Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/donnet-vs-jade-m15-rodez-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).