Alexander Shevchenko vs Hubert Hurkacz — Chengdu Round of 32
POL5
Shevchenko A.
Alexander Shevchenko faces Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. Hubert Hurkacz holds the paper edge — ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 5–0, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Hurkacz H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Hubert Hurkacz leads the head-to-head 5–0. Last met at United Cup 2025.
- Surface form: Alexander Shevchenko 1 of 5, Hubert Hurkacz 4 of 5 on hard recently — Hubert Hurkacz the sharper of late.
- Stage: Alexander Shevchenko defends last year's semi-final.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | United Cup | SF | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-12-27 | United Cup | SF | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | R64 | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 6-7 6-3 |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | R16 | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-02-27 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 3-6 6-3 7-6 |