Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander ShevchenkoUnited Cup Semi-final

United Cup · ATP · Semi-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 27 December 2024
hard
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-2
Shevchenko A.
Hurkacz H.
662
Shevchenko A.
320

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6-3 6-2 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-4 6-7(2) 6-3
2024-02-05MarseilleR16hardHubert Hurkacz6-1 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz3-6 6-3 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Shevchenko A.
67
Serve
27
0
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
92
Break points won·Clear edge
40
60
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 60 days (−0.7)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 53 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.1+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1642
6.7Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1669
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.8
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
98

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Shevchenko A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 34%