Lloyd Harris vs Alexis Galarneau — Chengdu Qualifying Round of 8
RSA
Harris L.
Lloyd Harris faces Alexis Galarneau in the Chengdu qualifying round of 8 on hard. Lloyd Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #136, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Lloyd Harris has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 48 vs 28).
- Last match: Alexis Galarneau edged Elias Ymer in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
- Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHarris L.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 70 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.