Elias Ymer vs Alexis GalarneauChengdu Qualifying Round of 16

Chengdu · ATP · Qualifying Round of 16
#190ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$242kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#179ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$251kYTD
$944kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLL
Ymer E.
5-7 6-7
Galarneau A.
Ymer E.
5650
Galarneau A.
7772

Alexis Galarneau defeated Elias Ymer in the Chengdu quarterfinals qualifying round. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 7-6 in favor of Galarneau. Galarneau served 3 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 25% of break points and securing 2 service breaks; Ymer served 19 aces, committed 3 double faults, converted 14% of break points, and secured 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Ymer E.8/12
Galarneau A.7/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
22
28
Break points saved·Dominant
38
79
Break points won·Even
14
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
22
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Ymer E.54%
Galarneau A.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1527
Surface ELO
5.3+21 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1593
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Ymer E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw