James Duckworth vs Lorenzo Sonego — Chengdu Round of 32
Duckworth J.
James Duckworth faces Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. Lorenzo Sonego is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage — but James Duckworth arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to Lorenzo Sonego's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Sonego L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: James Duckworth comes in with 20 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Lorenzo Sonego's 14 and 29.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Lorenzo Sonego rising, James Duckworth cooling.
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Sonego leads the head-to-head 2–1, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Winston-Salem 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDuckworth J.: 20 days rest · Sonego L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | R16 | hard | James Duckworth | 5-7 3-6 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | R32 | grass | Lorenzo Sonego | 4-6 7-6 7-6 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-4 6-4 |